It’s that time again!
That’s right…..my yearly ponderings and prognostications about the future of both the voiceover industry and…drumbeat….THE WORLD! Mwahahahaha!
We’ll dive into my crystal ball in just a moment, but first, let’s review 2025’s predictions to see just how badly you’ll be wasting your time reading the rest of this.
GOT IT RIGHT/PRETTY CLOSE
This feels right down the middle, especially the last couple of points: ” Work volume grew in 2024 and we’ll continue to see that in 2025, with the interesting added dimension of a return to parity among demographic groups. The pivot to more assertive reads that I suggested in my previous blog looks like it has staying power, and in 2025 I don’t think we’ll see the same, “this type of voice is hot,” vibe that we’ve experienced over the past decade. I believe the market will settle into a place where everybody who has chops has action, and you’ll see some surprising casting choices with unexpected sounds on unexpected brands.”
2025 was the most open and egalitarian year I can recall in VO, where casting often came down to who just put a little more of their spirit into the read and brought the performance to life in unexpected ways. No voice was the “it” voice, and the pendulum swung hard towards “best actor wins,” with few other considerations. Everybody was in play, and man were there in fact some truly wild casting choices.
Oooh…the “world” predictions…..I’ll take a Kreskin trophy on the majority of these. While Trump’s attempts to reduce government spending and bureaucracy instead turned into an absolute shi*show of open corruption and amateurism, and the world hardly feels more stable, we’re close to a deal no one will love on Ukraine, and a tenuous peace holds in Gaza, though achieved differently than predicted. The attack on Iran came true, and while the regime still reigns, its time is short.
Sadly, this couldn’t have been more accurate, “On the other hand, Trump’s immigration crackdown will produce horrifying visuals, and scandals will quickly emerge over the enrichment of private detention companies and their abuse of deportees.”
The stock market hasn’t crashed yet, but I sure wouldn’t count on that lasting, and unemployment is certainly growing rapidly.
The Democrats taking back the mantel of populism and the lack of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan were both on the money.
This feels spot on: “The talent who have been hearing, “we have too many of you,” from agents over the past few years will hear that less in 2025, as long as their skill set and package for representation is impeccable, as the previously predicted market equilibrium grows. On the other hand, the 25-35 demographic might start hearing that more than they have in the past, as agents have been collecting youth for awhile now and are reaching a saturation point. The pendulum always swings.”
This feels closer: “While some will dispute the findings, scientists will reveal convincing evidence of the existence (past or present) of an alien civilization in 2025.”
Also taking a win on this one: “You’ll hear Southern voices/accents in very unexpected placements. Write it down.”
BLEW IT/WTF WERE YOU THINKING?
On the other hand, I don’t think anyone feels 2025 was a “banner year for voiceover.” While many established talent still saw growth, and the number of rather rapid new talent success stories seemed higher than usual, the great middle of the industry took it on the chin a bit, primarily as a result of pressure on mid-tier buyer budgets due to a fast-changing and unpredictable media landscape that had many corporations in bootstrap mode. AI erosion gets lots of hype, but there’s scant evidence of much AI VO content where human talent were once used, as opposed to a more general hesitancy to spend on creative in any context for mid-tier projects. So I’ll take a fail on this part of the prediction.
Oh those Super Bowl picks….every year, LOL. Instead of the “rematch America wants,” between the Lions & Bills, we got the rematch nobody wanted between the Chiefs and Eagles, with prime seats dropping as low as $4K, roughly a fifth of their normal price as no one really wanted to go. Though the throttling of the Chiefs was a catharsis for many, even if it made for a sleepy game. Not even close on my bonus NFC Championship Game pick, but on the bright side I actually got to attend the real one, watching my football ex-girlfriend the Commanders get slaughtered in Philly, and getting clowned in real time in the 4th quarter by stadium announcer Bill Larson.
Commercial work grew as predicted in 2025, but was hardly a flood, and advertisers still seem utterly confused about how to target spend, so I’ll take a fail on this one too.
Not sad about no bird flu, but the season is hardly over and the unexpected H3N2 strain is a nasty one. But, let’s take a happy “I was wrong” here.
Another happy “I was wrong…..” no big agency mergers in 2025. Indeed, the bigger agents were more active, visible, and competitive over talent than in recent memory. A happy swing and a miss on that one!
OKAY, LET’S LOOK AHEAD TO 2026!
INDUSTRY: I expect 2026 to be a turning point in the fight against AI creative in general, not just in VO. The blowback against artificial intelligence in any form of art or advertising is not some Luddite fever dream or wishful thinking. Large majorities of consumers see AI creative as slop, and another symptom of the enshittification of so many things, right up there with fast food restaurants asking for tips, thousand dollar conference tickets, resort fees on your hotel bill, and airlines charging you for everything but emergency oxygen. Moreover, while AI voice is probably a little bit better than a lot of other AI creative, it is all still just not fit for purpose, and barely achieving “good enough.”
Two things will determine whether AI seriously erodes voiceover work going forward: 1.) Will the drumbeat of consumer resistance continue to increase to a critical mass? 2.) When will the AI stock valuation bubble burst?
I suspect the answer to #1 is yes. The AI oligarchy made two critical mistakes…..assuming this generation of young people, who value authenticity over all else, would be enamored with the technology, (grandma likes it….the kids, not so much,) and the absolutely grotesque force-feeding of it down the throats of consumers in every possible context in order to justify unjustifiable investments. Those two critical errors will likely cause something verging on a rebellion against AI in any context other than that which genuinely will improve society. As to the stock market bubble, very simply, the math doesn’t math. Few if any AI companies are profitable, they operate on hated SAAS models, (did you know that most halfway decent AI voiceover services cost $1K+/year for access to any professional-grade features?,) and the vast majority of AI-centric companies are operating on funds borrowed from chip makers like NVIDIA in a ponzi-style scheme that has echoes of the 2008 housing bubble and the dotcom bubble all rolled into one. A major correction is inevitable. A massive collapse is possible. And what will be left is a population embittered by all of the items above AS WELL AS the ruins of their 401k’s, all stuck with only a few viable services left who will be charging more than ever for their wares based on their market dominance and need to recover enormous losses. While organizations like NAVA and SAG-AFTRA continue to fight on behalf of VOs, in the end, the market will have a greater say over the AI endgame than legislation, and I believe the judgement of the market will be harsher than any lawmaker.
WORLD: Mark this down as possibly the most important prediction I’ve ever made: Luigi Mangione will go free.
The chances of a Manhattan jury convicting Mangione, regardless of his self-evident guilt, are zero. You WILL NOT find twelve people in Manhattan to populate a jury without one or more intent on making a political statement by voting to acquit. He will either be acquitted in his first trial, or will wind up with a hung jury, be retried, and the result will be the same. After two bites at the apple, there are few judges who would allow a third trial. Any secondary prosecutions will end the same way, and attempts to prosecute him over and over may lead to unrest. It may take a year or three, but he will walk, and when he does America will face a reckoning like it never has before, because in defiance of the law, yet through the legal process, the people will have declared open season on C-Suite figures whose obscene wealth and corruption have destroyed the middle class. It will be, in essence, the first shot in a new American Revolution…..not against political parties or ideologies, but against the nascent oligarchy rising in the United States. Terrified executives and a government that has seen its prosecutorial power neutered by runaway juries will have to decide between massive concessions to rebuild the middle class and offer the average American more security, or severe repression, and the possible backlash thereto. Mark my words….when Mangione goes free, American society will change massively.
INDUSTRY: It may seem cliche, but more so than ever in 2026 the talent who do the work will rise. The market is less saturated than it was a year or two ago, but with buyers becoming pickier than ever, and looking for that “special something,” even that which has been tried and true money for years for many VO’s might not be enough in 2026. Your reads will have to be consistently inspired, not just good, and your mix of work sources and hustle among each will have to be more diverse and intense than ever. For quite awhile there has been a cadre of “solid but unspectacular” talent who have been able to make a steady living across multiple genres. That’s not gonna fly in ’26. Actual work volume will continue to grow. Media is ever-growing and the constancy of growth in VO work will always follow, (according to Google…..” The professional voiceover and voice acting industry is a multi-billion dollar market, driven by massive demand from advertising, e-learning, audiobooks (a $4.1B industry), podcasts, and corporate narration, with global revenue estimated in the billions and growing, offering significant earning potential for skilled actors.”) But that “skilled actors” part is the rub. With AI an option, even if its use is overstated, only two types of voice actors will thrive in 2026….the great, and the exceptional. Get your skills in order. Don’t skimp on training. And always be leveling-up, because there are fewer of us than a few years ago, but there are more of the great and the exceptional than ever.
WORLD: Okay, let’s do that Super Bowl pick. The Patriots have always been my #2 team, through my years as a Washington fan and still after my conversion to the sadness of Bengals-ism. (I’m a glutton for punishment.) I’d love to see them land a seventh Lombardi, and a first in the post-Brady era. But in a year where Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, and Patrick Mahomes will watch the playoffs from their couches, I think greatness prevails and the Bills go on a tear in the AFC playoffs to punch their ticket to the big dance. The NFC is as wide-open as it has ever been, with every team save for the AFC South champion almost evenly matched skill-wise. I’ll ride with experience, and similar to last year’s Chiefs, after sleepwalking through the regular season I think the Eagles turn it on in the playoffs and get a date with Buffalo in California. That, however, is as far as their luck will carry them, with the Bills defeating the Eagles in Super Bowl LX by a comfortable two-touchdown margin, with Josh Allen finally raising the Lombardi Trophy and garnering Super Bowl MVP honors.
Some Quick Hitters:
INDUSTRY: It will be another good year for hungry talent looking for quality representation, but just as in 2025, most success stories will come from making impressions in settings where you can show off your skills. More than ever, agents want to get a sense of who you are as a person as much as who you are as a talent. One thing that has stuck with me over the past year is how often I’ve asked an agent, “Why this person and not that one,” and when all else is equal, (or even close,) the answer I so frequently get is, “I think they’ll work hard for us.” Your demo will show your skill, but your vibe matters too.
WORLD: No, seriously, securities are gonna get creamed in 2026, (this blog is my opinion only and not investment advice.)
INDUSTRY: Further to the above, if you’re playing footsie with the industry and deciding whether to jump in, do it sooner rather than later. When the economy gets slammed, newcomers flood the VO market. The pandemic was an extreme example, but if there is a 2008 or worse-level recession/major unemployment, it’ll be noob-city once again. Getting traction between 2020-2022 was brutally hard for new talent because of the sheer volume of entry-level competition. If you’re considering getting into the business, there’s a good chance the first half of 2026 will be a better time than the second half.
WORLD: 60/40 chance the Republican Party pushes Donald Trump out of the Oval Office before this time next year, whether it’s a Vance-led MAGA putsch, or the return of the moderates working with Democrats to install a non-MAGA President after some precipitating event. Also, the Gavin Newsom boom starts to fade by the end of 2026, with more “real” feeling Democrats like Pete Buttigieg and AOC taking the leading position among the moderate and populist wings of the party, respectively. And, if the Trump administration actually prosecutes Mark Kelly, he’ll be leading all the polls by the end of the year.
INDUSTRY: Hot genres for 2026: Commercial (always), Gaming, Corporate Narration (always growing), Political (here we go again,) Audiobooks (always growing,) and an honorable mention for an E-Learning resurgence.
WORLD: 2026 will be a year of instability, but the world avoids a cataclysmic event, and the Ukraine war will end with an ugly peace, Taiwan will remain free, and we’ll all be back here next year to laugh at this blog once again!
Happy New Year, everyone! May you find prosperity and success in 2026!







